The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • List: $25.00  |  Sale: $17.50
    Club: $12.50
    • Facebook Share
    • Twitter Share
    • Pinterest Share

Details

The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Series: Incerto #2

Narrator: Joe Ochman

Unabridged: 15 hr 48 min

Format: Digital Audiobook

Publisher: Random House Audio

Published: 01/08/2019

Genre: Business & Economics - Corporate Finance

Includes: Bonus PDF

Synopsis

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
 
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”
 
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
 
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.
 
Includes a bonus pdf of tables and figures.

Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
 
“The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ
 
Praise for The Black Swan
 
“[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London)
 
“A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail
 
“Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
 
“The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate
 
“[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal
 
“Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times
 
“Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review

Recommended

The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

List: $24.99

Sale: $17.50

Club: $12.49

Narrator: David Chandler
Published: 07/25/2007

Pound Foolish Exposing the Dark Side of the Personal Finance Industry, Helaine Olen
Pound Foolish
by Helaine Olen

List: $34.98

Sale: $24.48

Club: $17.48

Narrator: Lyn Landon
Published: 02/19/2013

The Logic of Life The Rational Economics of an Irrational World, Tim Harford
The Logic of Life
by Tim Harford

List: $20.00

Sale: $14.00

Club: $10.00

Narrator: John Lee,L.J. Ganser
Published: 01/15/2008

Why I Left Goldman Sachs A Wall Street Story, Greg Smith
Why I Left Goldman Sachs
by Greg Smith

List: $19.98

Sale: $13.99

Club: $9.99

Narrator: Greg Smith
Published: 10/22/2012

AGILE PROJECT MANAGEMENT Direct Approach Methods and Techniques for Agile Project Management, Software Development, and Quality Control. NEW VERSION, ERIC LIKER
AGILE PROJECT MANAGEMENT
by ERIC LIKER

List: $14.95

Sale: $10.47

Club: $7.47

Narrator: Ross Pipkin
Published: 04/17/2020

LEAN Philosophy Lean Six Sigma | Lean Startup | Lean Enterprise | Lean Analytics | 5s Methodologies. Process & Techniques for Building a Lean Enterprise to a Lean Business. NEW VERSION, ERIC LIKER
LEAN Philosophy
by ERIC LIKER

List: $14.95

Sale: $10.47

Club: $7.47

Narrator: KC Wayman
Published: 04/17/2020

Adventure Capitalist The Ultimate Road Trip, Jim Rogers
Adventure Capitalist
by Jim Rogers

List: $22.50

Sale: $15.75

Club: $11.25

Narrator: Paul Boehmer,Jim Rogers
Published: 02/04/2003

Other People's Money The Real Business of Finance, John Kay
Other People's Money
by John Kay

List: $34.98

Sale: $24.48

Club: $17.48

Narrator: Walter Dixon
Published: 10/01/2015

The TenX Rule The Only Difference Between Success and Failure, Grant Cardone
The TenX Rule
by Grant Cardone

List: $27.98

Sale: $19.59

Club: $13.99

Narrator: Gildan Assorted Authors
Published: 07/11/2011

Incerto Bundle

Get 5% off your total order by adding 3 or more audiobooks from Incerto

{"id":"3532609","ean":"9781984841582","abr":"Unabridged","title":"The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility","subtitle":"The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility","author":"Nassim Nicholas Taleb","rating_average":"4.44","narrator":"Joe Ochman","series_id":"9958","ubr_id":"3532609","abr_id":"0","ubr_price":"25.00","abr_price":"0.00","ubr_memprice":"16.25","abr_memprice":"0.00","ubr_narrator":"Joe Ochman","abr_narrator":"","ubr_length":"Unabridged: 14 hr 50 min","abr_length":"Abridged: "}