The Doomsday Calculation, William Poundstone
The Doomsday Calculation, William Poundstone
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The Doomsday Calculation
How an Equation that Predicts the Future Is Transforming Everything We Know About Life and the Universe

Author: William Poundstone

Narrator: Kyle Tait

Unabridged: 8 hr 12 min

Format: Digital Audiobook Download

Publisher: Tantor Media

Published: 10/15/2019

Includes: Bonus Material Bonus Material Included


Synopsis

In the eighteenth century, the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. It languished in obscurity for centuries until computers came along and made it easy to crunch the numbers. Now, as the foundation of big data, Bayes's formula has become a linchpin of the digital economy.

But here's where things get really interesting: Bayes's theorem can also be used to lay odds on the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence; on whether we live in a Matrix-like counterfeit of reality; on the "many worlds" interpretation of quantum theory being correct; and on the biggest question of all: how long will humanity survive?

The Doomsday Calculation tells how Silicon Valley's profitable formula became a controversial pivot of contemporary thought. Drawing on interviews with thought leaders around the globe, it's the story of a group of intellectual mavericks who are challenging what we thought we knew about our place in the universe. The Doomsday Calculation is a must-listen for anyone interested in our culture and its future.

About William Poundstone

William Poundstone is an author, columnist, and skeptic. His many books include Prisoner's Dilemma, Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, and Priceless.


Reviews

Goodreads review by David on April 19, 2019

The End Is Near for far more reasons that you think If you think the scientific arguments over climate change are harrowing, let William Poundstone take you on a tour of Man’s inevitable extinction. There are theories from every angle, and just as many experts ready to refute or at least denounce the......more

Goodreads review by Dave on October 09, 2019

This was okay overall, but I had a real problem with the way he set up the mathematical brain teasers that he discussed (e.g. Sleeping Beauty, The Sailor's Child, The Shooting Room). In every case, he either added extraneous information or left information out of the setup that made it hard to under......more

Goodreads review by Grumpus on November 15, 2019

The grumpus23 (23-word commentary) Considering all of the ways we could destroy ourselves (or be destroyed), author examines the calculations of, and odds of our demise. Dry.......more

Goodreads review by Ira on September 16, 2024

If you read this book expecting a precise date of when and how the world is going to end, then you’re going to have a bad time. There is a lot of interesting information about statistics and probability in this one and goes well beyond what the title suggests. In the end I liked this even though it......more

Goodreads review by Thurston on December 29, 2019

At first this book really irked me, it felt like a parlor trick. A statistical ploy gussied up in make-up (lipstick black of course). Getting older (me personally, and the country, world etc...) there is always a temptation to confound one's own demise with the extinction of everything everywhere. An......more